Smapf-hnna: a novel Stock Market Analysis and Prediction Framework using Hybrid Neural Network Architectures Across Major US Indices

Informations générales

Année de publication

2025

Type

Journal

Description

International Journal of Data Science and Analytics (2025): 1-37.

Résumé

Financial markets exhibit high volatility due to various external factors, making stock price prediction a complex yet crucial task for investors and financial institutions. Accurate forecasting not only enhances decision making but also mitigates financial risks. This paper introduces SMAPF-HNNA, an advanced framework that integrates multiple neural network (NN) architectures for robust time-series analysis and stock price forecasting. The proposed approach leverages Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for automatic feature extraction, followed by the application of diverse NN models, including Simple Recurrent Neural Networks (SRNNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), Bidirectional GRU (BiGRU), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) for precise stock price prediction. The framework is rigorously evaluated on multiple benchmark datasets, including NYSE, S&P 500, NASDAQ, and SSE, through extensive training and testing phases. Experimental results demonstrate that the hybrid CNN-MLP model outperforms other architectures across all datasets, achieving exceptionally low error rates with five key regression metrics. The model yields mean squared error (MSE) values between 0.000031 and 0.000004, root mean squared error (RMSE) between 0.0020 and 0.0056, mean absolute error (MAE) between 0.0018 and 0.0042, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) between 0.12% and 0.32%, and R-squared (R) values ranging from 0.9995 to 0.9999, while maintaining low computational complexity across datasets. These results highlight the potential of SMAPF-HNNA as a highly accurate and computationally efficient solution for stock market prediction, addressing the limitations of previous methods. The proposed framework offers valuable insights for researchers and practitioners, paving the way for more reliable financial market forecasting models.

BibTeX
@article{zouaghia2025smapf,
  title={Smapf-hnna: a novel Stock Market Analysis and Prediction Framework using Hybrid Neural Network Architectures Across Major US Indices},
  author={Zouaghia, Zakia and Kodia, Zahra and Ben Said, Lamjed},
  journal={International Journal of Data Science and Analytics},
  pages={1--37},
  year={2025},
  publisher={Springer}
}